Non Prophet

it doesn't seem to me that it would be very difficult to prophecy. all you have to do is know how things work. for instance i can say that a great harm will come to a great many people and be just as sure as i am in saying winter will come, or spring. and if anyone notices that after i said it some many people did come to a great harm he may want to know how i knew it was going to happen and perhaps even did i have something to do with making it that way. and the way to dispel suspicion would be too show that i really have no power and the only reason i could be sure the findings matched the forecast was the size of the sample. much harder is to predict details like which horse will come in first in which race. so prophets like to be vague about things such as dates. but another hard thing is to make anyone believe what you're saying or even to find someone who will believe. that's why alarm is the number one item on the soothsayer's list.everything else he'll get to once you've already begun to listen.